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The Vivek Head-Fake: Why We're Betting He'll Lose Ohio

Dec 12, 2025

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7 min read

The Vivek Head-Fake: Why We're Betting He'll Lose Ohio

The prediction markets, as of this morning, give Republican Vivek Ramaswamy a 59% chance of winning the Ohio governorship. On the surface, that looks like a strong lead over Democrat Amy Acton. Vivek also has a ton of MAGA support behind him. But we're not buying it. In fact, we're actively wagering that Vivek will lose. This isn't a bet on Amy Acton to win. It's a bet on Vivek to lose. Here's why.

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