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April 6, 2026

Who Will Be Trump's Next Attorney General? — Lee Zeldin 48%

Pam Bondi is out. Trump called her "a Great American Patriot and a loyal friend" who "faithfully served" and said "We love Pam”.

Which is about as warm an exit as Washington produces. She's moving to a prominent private-sector role. No drama. No bad blood.

Trump hasn't offered a specific public reason beyond the warm farewell statement. Which in Washington usually means the reason is complicated, internal, or both.

Todd Blanche is now serving as acting Attorney General.

The market is already pricing who gets the job.

$2.75 million in volume. Lee Zeldin at 48%. Todd Blanche at 26%.

Jeanine Pirro at 8%.

A chart that has barely moved since the market opened, which is itself a signal worth reading.

The Attorney General sets the tone and direction of the entire Department of Justice. Under Trump's vision, that means an AG willing to use DOJ as a shield for allies and a sword against perceived opponents, investigating enemies, protecting friends, and executing the retribution agenda Trump has talked about openly since before his second term began.

The choice between Zeldin and Blanche is a signal about whether Trump wants a political loyalist who has proven himself in the arena, or a legal insider who has already been running the operation quietly from within.

Those are meaningfully different visions of what the DOJ does next.

All three are long-time Trump loyalists who have proven they will use law enforcement and media firepower in ways that align with Trump's instincts.

This isn't a conventional AG shortlist. It's a list of people who have demonstrated personal loyalty under pressure — and who share Trump's vision of what the DOJ is for.

Lee Zeldin — 48%

Zeldin backed Trump early in 2016 and never broke with him — not through the impeachments, not through January 6, not through any of it. He was one of the most aggressive House Republicans attacking the investigations around Trump-Ukraine and defending Trump's moves at every turn.

Trump rewarded that loyalty with the EPA job. Now he's the leading candidate for AG — multiple outlets are reporting him as the frontrunner, and the market agrees. Zeldin is TV-ready, politically tested, and has never given Trump a reason to doubt him.

He would still need Senate confirmation — but given the current Senate composition, that's unlikely to be a serious obstacle for someone with his profile and relationship with Republican members.

48% is the crowd saying: he's the obvious choice if Trump wants someone proven, loyal, and publicly comfortable with the mission.

Todd Blanche — 26%

Blanche is the most interesting name on the list because of what he's already done and what he's already doing. He gave up a big-law partnership to become Trump's lead criminal defense attorney — handling the hush-money case, the federal election interference case, and the documents case before they were dismissed after Trump's reelection. He proved his loyalty under maximum legal pressure, in public, with everything on the line.

Trump brought him inside as deputy AG.

Now he's acting AG. He's already running the department, managing the politically sensitive probes, the Epstein files, the investigations of Trump's perceived enemies, the internal purges of officials deemed hostile.

Here's the interesting tension: if Blanche is already in the seat and Trump is happy with how DOJ is being run, why is Zeldin the frontrunner at all?

The fact that the market still has Zeldin at 48% despite Blanche sitting in the chair suggests Trump has signaled. Through leaks, through reporting, or through his own conversations, that he wants someone other than Blanche for the permanent role.

Whether that's about optics, Senate confirmation risk, or simply Trump wanting a more public-facing AG is unclear.

The case for Blanche: he doesn't need to learn the job, he's already doing it. The case against: Senate confirmation hearings for someone this personally intertwined with Trump's criminal defense would be the most contentious in recent memory. Every detail of Trump's legal exposure would be relitigated in public.

26% feels slightly low for someone already sitting in the seat, but the confirmation risk is real.

Jeanine Pirro — 8%

Pirro has been placed into the role of US attorney for Washington DC, Trump's front-line prosecutor in the capital. That's a prominent role, but it's a different track than AG entirely. The market has correctly read this as Pirro being positioned rather than being in the running for the top job.

She's fiercely loyal, lives on television, and speaks in the same crime-and-retribution language Trump uses.

But the market has repriced her down from 15% at open to 8% today, reflecting the reality that her placement in DC suggests Trump has already decided her role in this administration. She got a job. Just not this one.

The Chart Tells You Something

Four days of trading. Nearly $3 million in volume. The lines have barely moved. Zeldin has held between 48% and 52% the entire time. Blanche between 19% and 27%. Pirro drifting down from 15% to 8%.

When $3 million in trading volume produces a flat chart, the crowd is telling us it's waiting for one thing, a signal from Trump himself.

With him that can happen at any moment.

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