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June 9, 2026

I want to show you something.

Recently a series of large wallets moved millions of dollars on Polymarket.

$6.1 million on Iran. $5.7 million on the Strait of Hormuz. $5.0 million on the NBA Finals. $4.5 million against France winning the World Cup.

I've been tracking whale positions on prediction markets for a while now.

And when this much capital moves in the same direction, across this many markets, in this short a window —

It means something.

I don't know exactly what these wallets know.

But I know they're not wrong often.

Here's every position worth paying attention to right now:

🌍 THE IRAN SITUATION — $20M+ IN WHALE VOLUME

🐳 NO — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 — $6.1M volume, 547 trades. Whales overwhelmingly say no deal this month.

🐳 NO — Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of June — $5.7M volume. Smart money says the shipping lanes stay disrupted.

🐳 NO — Iranian regime falls before 2027 — $5.4M volume. Despite the chaos, whales don't see regime collapse coming.

🐳 YES — US x Iran peace deal by December 31 — $3.7M volume. Interesting — whales say no deal by June 30 but YES by year end. They see a deal coming, just not yet.

🏀 NBA FINALS

🐳 YES — New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals — $5.0M volume, 361 trades. Massive whale conviction on the Knicks.

🐳 NO — San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals — $2.9M volume. Whales not buying the Spurs run.

⚽ WORLD CUP — THE BIG MONEY MARKETS

🐳 NO — France wins the World Cup — $4.5M volume. Smart money fading the favorites.

🐳 NO — Spain wins the World Cup — $2.9M volume. Defending champions getting faded hard.

🐳 YES — Belgium wins the World Cup — $1.4M volume. Golden generation's last shot — whales believe.

🐳 YES — Mexico wins the World Cup — $1.4M volume. Home tournament advantage getting real whale backing.

🐳 YES — Argentina wins the World Cup — $985K volume. Defending champions with smart money behind them.

🐳 YES — Brazil wins the World Cup — $938.5K volume. The eternal contenders with whale backing.

🐳 YES — England wins the World Cup — $950.2K volume. It's coming home? Whales think maybe.

🐳 YES — Neymar plays in the World Cup — $397.2K volume. Smart money says he makes it.

📈 CRYPTO & MARKETS

🐳 YES — MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by June 30 — $3.1M volume. Whales think Saylor blinks.

🐳 NO — Bitcoin dips to $52,500 in June — $118.9K volume. Whales not expecting a major crash.

🐳 YES — NVIDIA largest company by market cap June 30 — $574.8K volume. Smart money backing Jensen Huang.

🌏 GEOPOLITICS

🐳 NO — China invades Taiwan by June 30 — $2.0M volume. Whales say not yet.

🐳 YES — Trump visits China by June 30 — $618.1K volume. Smart money expects a Xi meeting soon.

🐳 YES — US invades Cuba in 2026 — $401.3K volume. Surprisingly high whale conviction on this one.

I can't tell you what to do with this information.

What I can tell you is this:

The wallets that moved $6 million on Iran didn't get there by watching from the sidelines.

They got there by knowing where the money was moving before everyone else did.

That's exactly why every month more traders are following the money instead of the headlines.

Click here to learn more.

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