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Prediction Market Edge
June 26, 2026
This is going to sound counterintuitive, but the most interesting trade in American politics right now isn’t about who wins in 2028.
It’s about who almost certainly doesn’t. (for now)
If you look at where size is actually going in the Republican field, the big money isn’t spreading tiny “Yes” tickets across a dozen hopefuls.
It’s doing the opposite: systematically building “No” positions against almost every recognizable name on the board.
We’re still early, so when you look at former vice presidents. Sitting senators. Governors with national donor networks… From Ted Cruz to Steve Bannon, to Tom Brady and Sarah Huckabee…
Just know that, as we get closer to Election Day, things can change.
The good news is these pages are updated DAILY.
Below is the current whale map on the Republican side: who’s being aggressively faded, how much volume is stacked against them, and what that tells you about where serious money thinks the party is actually headed.
For anyone following prediction markets or the Republican field into 2028, these pages are worth bookmarking.
🇺🇸 THE 2028 REPUBLICAN FIELD — EVERY NAME, EVERY POSITION
Now here's everyone else:
🐳 NO — Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $1.6M volume. The former VP. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $803.7K volume. The Missouri firebrand. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $723.8K volume. The Arkansas Governor. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $637.8K volume. The Texas senator. Faded again.
🐳 NO — Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $610.9K volume. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $563.4K volume. The Georgia Governor. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $423.9K volume. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $356.5K volume. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $317.4K volume. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $268.9K volume. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $229.4K volume. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $217.1K volume. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $181.8K volume. Faded.
🐳 NO — Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — $164.5K volume. Yes, that Tom Brady. Faded.
We’re still in the early innings.
Bookmark these pages and come back to them, as we get closer to Election Day, these numbers will move a lot.
In the meantime, if you want to be on the cutting edge of where the real, money‑backed opinions are forming in real time, click here and don’t get left behind.
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