In partnership with
__________________________________________________________________
Happy Monday people,
Big weekend and the results of our beta test came in. I won’t get into it right now but know that the results looked promising. More to come.
Today’s top stories…
CNN Sports: Prediction market sponsorships are turning sports fans against the leagues.
JJ Allison, 25, trades prediction markets for a living after bookies and sportsbooks cut him off for winning too much.
Even so, he was one of dozens of bettors who told CNN that league partnerships with these platforms have gone too far.
Nearly a quarter of MLB teams signed prediction market deals this summer, following a league-level deal at the start of the season.
The fans CNN heard from don’t call it fatigue. They call it betrayal.
Also on the board:
Finbold: “Black Monday” fears intensify as prediction markets shrug off a 2026 crash.
On the 39th anniversary of the 1987 crash, Wall Street opens after its worst week since January.
The VIX is at 20.57, CoreWeave is down 25% in five sessions, and Brent crude is near $109.
Polymarket still prices just a 7% chance of an AI bubble burst by year-end.
That contract requires a full-blown collapse within 90 days, not a correction.
European Gaming: Hacksaw launches a B2B prediction markets platform with MGA Type 3 approval.
Nasdaq Stockholm-listed casino supplier Hacksaw Group just launched a platform that lets any operator run peer-to-peer prediction markets under its own brand.
Hacksaw supplies the tech and pools liquidity across its entire operator network, which solves the empty-order-book problem that kills new markets.
Malta’s regulator added Type 3 to Hacksaw’s B2B license, covering player-versus-player games where the operator takes no risk and collects a commission.
Bernstein puts the prize at roughly $1 trillion in annual volume by 2030.
___________________________________________________________________
🌙 Daily Prediction Market Moonshot Report
🗳️ 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
0.9 cents. YES. $1,300. Oct 18, 8:54 PM.
This wallet is back. It’s the same wallet we flagged last issue buying this exact outcome for $1,300 at 0.8 cents. Same size, slightly higher price.
At 0.9 cents, $1,300 buys roughly 144,400 YES shares. Payout: approximately $144,400.
⚓ Who wins the Senate pending a Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
2.3 cents. YES on “Hormuz Agreement; R Senate.” $1,000. Oct 19, 7:38 AM.
This wallet needs a Hormuz agreement by October 23 and a Republican Senate to get paid. It’s the second wallet on this outcome this morning. Another wallet hit the “before the midterms” version 28 minutes earlier (below).
At 2.3 cents, $1,000 buys roughly 43,500 YES shares. Payout: approximately $43,500.
⚓ Who wins the Senate pending a Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
3.7 cents. YES on “Hormuz Agreement; R Senate.” $834. Oct 19, 7:10 AM.
This wallet made the same bet with a later deadline: a Hormuz agreement before the midterms and a Republican Senate.
At 3.7 cents, $834 buys roughly 22,500 YES shares. Payout: approximately $22,500.
🫏 James Talarico wins the 2028 Democratic nomination?
2.8 cents. YES. $1,100. Oct 18, 10:11 PM.
This wallet put $1,100 on a 2028 nomination more than three years out.
At 2.8 cents, $1,100 buys roughly 39,300 YES shares. Payout: approximately $39,300.
🐘 Ron DeSantis wins the 2028 Republican nomination?
2.9 cents. YES. $4,100. Oct 18, 5:48 PM.
This is the biggest non-sports moonshot on today’s board. This wallet put $4,100 on DeSantis at under 3 cents.
At 2.9 cents, $4,100 buys roughly 141,400 YES shares. Payout: approximately $141,400.
🇫🇷 Paris curfew by October 21?
4.9 cents. YES. $1,500. Oct 19, 6:36 AM.
This wallet put $1,500 on a Paris curfew by Wednesday. The market prices it at about 5%.
At 4.9 cents, $1,500 buys roughly 30,600 YES shares. Payout: approximately $30,600.
🇫🇷 Raphaël Glucksmann wins the 2027 French presidential election?
5.0 cents. YES. $1,200. Oct 19, 5:34 AM.
This wallet made the first of two French-politics buys this morning, an hour before the Paris curfew trade. They come from different wallets.
At 5 cents, $1,200 buys 24,000 YES shares. Payout: approximately $24,000.
🏛️ Republicans win the 2026 Michigan governor race?
5.0 cents. YES. $1,500. Oct 18, 10:53 PM.
This wallet put $1,500 on a Republican win in Michigan, about two weeks before Election Day.
At 5 cents, $1,500 buys 30,000 YES shares. Payout: approximately $30,000.
See What's Moving Before Wall Street Wakes Up
Most of us hear about a stock move after it happens — an earnings report, an AI contract, a sector suddenly running — and by the time the news reaches us, the opportunity is gone.
We created Elite Trade Club to fix that.
Each trading day, our team publishes a pre-market briefing built for active traders: stocks surging or collapsing before the open, key earnings that could move markets, under-the-radar companies gaining institutional attention, and the macro events worth watching today.
Fast, practical, straight to the point.
That's why 450,000+ traders rely on us every morning. Get the daily briefing free — no cost, no catch.
By clicking, you’ll receive this and other Elite Trade Media LLC financial newsletters, which may include advertiser offers. Publications · Privacy · Unsubscribe anytime.
___________________________________________________________________
DISCLAIMER:
The Content is not intended to provide, and does not constitute, financial, investment, trading, tax, legal, or any other form of professional advice. It is not a recommendation, suggestion, solicitation, or offer to buy, sell, trade, or hold any securities, event contracts, derivatives, cryptocurrencies, or other financial instruments on platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, or any other prediction market.
Prediction Market Edge believes the Content is reliable but makes no representations or warranties as to its accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or suitability for any purpose. The Content is subject to change without notice, and Prediction Market Edge assumes no duty or obligation to update it.
Trading in prediction markets involves significant risk of loss, including the potential loss of your entire investment. Past performance (including any highlighted “wins” or gains) is not indicative of future results. Markets are volatile, influenced by news, liquidity, resolution rules, and other factors, and individual results will vary. Subscribers and readers should conduct their own independent research, consider their financial situation, risk tolerance, and objectives, and consult qualified professionals before making any trading or investment decisions.
Prediction Market Edge is not responsible for any third-party information, market data, platform rules, or services referenced herein, including but not limited to Polymarket, Kalshi, or other exchanges. Use of the Content is at your own risk.
By subscribing to or accessing this Newsletter or related materials, you agree that Prediction Market Edge and its affiliates shall not be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, or other damages arising from your use of the Content.
For important additional information, please review our full Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and any Subscription Agreement (available on predictionmarketedge.com).