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0.8 cents. YES. $1,200. Oct 20, 12:06 PM.
This wallet put $1,200 on Booker at under a penny for the 2028 nomination.
Booker was announced Tuesday as a participant in a November summit bringing together potential 2028 Democratic contenders, including Pete Buttigieg and Raphael Warnock. He has also introduced a tax plan that could serve as an early presidential platform after his 2020 campaign ended before the first primary contests.
At 0.8 cents, $1,200 buys 150,000 YES shares. Payout if correct: approximately $150,000.
1.8 cents. YES. $1,200. Oct 19, 10:21 PM.
This wallet put $1,200 on Bitcoin hitting $35,000 before year-end.
Bitcoin swung Tuesday as traders reacted to an unverified report of a new US–Iran peace proposal, trading around $82,500 during the session. The reaction put crypto in the same geopolitical crosscurrents as stocks and oil, with hopes for negotiations briefly lifting risk appetite.
At 1.8 cents, $1,200 buys roughly 66,700 YES shares. Payout if correct: approximately $66,700.
4.9 cents. YES. $864. Oct 20, 4:07 PM.
This wallet put $864 on WTI hitting $115, with 11 days left in the month.
Iran said Sunday that its offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz remained on the table, but demanded relief from US sanctions and the blockade of its ports. Before the war, the waterway carried about a fifth of global trade in oil and liquefied natural gas, making its reopening a major issue for energy supplies.
At 4.9 cents, $864 buys roughly 17,600 YES shares. Payout if correct: approximately $17,600.
7.7 cents. NO. $1,300. Oct 20, 1:09 AM.
This wallet put $1,300 on the US–Iran ceasefire failing to hold through October 22, two days out. We flagged a different wallet buying NO on the October 15 version of this market last week.
Iran said Monday it was reviewing Washington’s response to its proposal and continuing to exchange messages through intermediaries. The dispute extends beyond a pause in fighting: Tehran’s demands include reopening Hormuz, lifting the US blockade and easing sanctions on Iranian oil exports.
At 7.7 cents, $1,300 buys roughly 16,900 NO shares. Payout if correct: approximately $16,900.
8.0 cents. NO. About $5,200 across three buys. Oct 20, 12:54 AM to 2:15 AM.
This wallet is the same one we’ve flagged twice buying “D Senate, R House” in the Balance of Power market. Overnight, it bought $3,500, then $870, then $824 betting against a Democratic House, all at 8 cents and all within 81 minutes. Both positions need a Republican House to pay.
National Republicans have begun pulling spending from some House races in New Jersey and Iowa while directing fresh money toward incumbents in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The late triage comes as Democrats need a net gain of just four seats to take the chamber in November.
At 8 cents, the $5,194 total buys roughly 64,900 NO shares. Payout if correct: approximately $64,900.
8.0 cents. YES. $800. Oct 20, 10:44 AM.
This wallet bought a Republican sweep in the same Balance of Power market where the wallet above is betting on a split Congress.
Democrats’ narrow polling leads in the Texas, Ohio and Michigan Senate races have tightened as outside money pours into the contests. Republicans enter the election with a 53–47 Senate majority, and JD Vance’s tie-breaking vote means Democrats need to reach 51 seats to take control.At 8 cents, $800 buys 10,000 YES shares. Payout if correct: approximately $10,000.
Yes, that Arnold Schwarzenegger.
He has a newsletter on beehiiv. So do Codie Sanchez, Jay Shetty, David Begnaud, Colin & Samir, and Joanna Stern.
They could publish just about anywhere. They chose beehiiv to build a direct connection with the people who want to hear from them most. And you can do the same, whether you’re world-famous or just at the start of your plan for world domination.
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